Sunday 3 March 2013

Cold Beer

The following question was originally posed by Richard Thaler (1985):

You are lying on the beach on a hot day. All you have to drink is ice water. For the last hour you have been thinking about how much you would enjoy a nice cold bottle of your favourite brand of beer. A companion gets up to go make a phone call and offers to bring back a beer from the only nearby place where beer is sold (a fancy hotel). He says that the beer might be expensive and so asks how much you are willing to pay for the beer. He says that he will buy the beer if it costs as much or less than the price you state. But if it costs more than the price you state he will not buy it. You trust your friend, and there is no possibility of him bargaining with the bartender. What price do you tell him?



Now imagine instead of there being a fancy hotel there is only a small, run down grocery store. What price do you tell him?

In the experiment half those questioned were told it was a fancy hotel, half were told the grocery store. Interestingly, the answers differed.

The median response for the hotel was $2.65 while for the store it was only $1.50 (in 1984 dollars).

This contradicts standard economic theory where our preferences are supposed to be stable, regardless of who we interact with. I should value a beer the same regardless of who sells it to me. But as the example above shows, we use reference points. What we are willing to pay for a beer is not only based on our thirst, but also on our perception of a fair price or a good deal.

4 comments:

  1. I think this is my new favourite Guru Hogg. It brings to attention quite relevant considerations for the average beer consumer.

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  2. I misunderstood this initially. I thought 'he will buy the beer' meant he would pay for it - in which case I'd set my limit at £1 million...

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