Sunday 2 September 2012

Book Review - Predictably Irrational




Predictably Irrational is a fantastic name for a book about behavioural economics. If you are looking for an easy read that will introduce you to many behavioural concepts using quirky yet illuminating stories, then this is the book for you. Dan Ariely takes us through all his research in a gripping tour of the wacky world of behavioural economics, finishing with an insightful take on the credit crunch. If nothing else, Predictably Irrational will convince you of the need for behavioural economics.

Predictably Irrational will not, however, give you a solid academic overview of the subject. The author's approach is to take us through his own wide-ranging research, but this means that genuinely ground-breaking stuff from other authors is sometimes omitted. For example, his chapter on anchors is well-written but illustrate matters with a flawed experiment (incentives were purely hypothetical - see Incentives - Ante Up). (Daniel Kahneman did not have this problem with his book.)

Ariely also includes the single most stupid experiment I've ever seen: it turn out that men, when sexually aroused, are less rational... well, DUH!

Another issue is one of his pieces of advice: hang around with a friend that is slightly less attractive than you in order to make yourself look more attractive (and whatever you do don't tell them, because that ends badly according to one of his readers). While this probably works, it is manipulative. I would not advise following all of the advice in Predictably Irrational. I do not advocate people using and manipulating their friends (or anyone)!

I will, however, end on a positive note. The chapters on cheating and honesty were genuinely new to me. Ariely's research showing that people cheat less shortly after being asked to recall the 10 commandments (or similar) is both credible and important.

Thus Predictably Irrational, while being occasionally frustrating, is well-written, easily accessible, often amusing and incredibly interesting. It is a good read, but it could be better.






Genre: Behavioural Economics
Accessibility: 9/10
Accuracy: 6/10
Readability: 9/10
Usefulness: 6/10
Verdict: A Good Read

PS Ariely has a blog, too: danariely.com

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